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Are Chinese Goods Still Reaching the U.S.?

The trade shift most leaders are still misreading

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Maritime Analytica
Apr 30, 2026
∙ Paid

Tariffs were supposed to reduce dependence on China.

And on paper, they did.

US–China trade fell by nearly 30%.

That looks like a clear outcome.

But something doesn’t add up.

Because the system doesn’t behave like it lost 30%.


So, the real question is not: “Is trade with China falling?”

It is: 👉 “If trade is down 30%… why doesn’t the system feel smaller?”


👉 What most of the market is still missing here:

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