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Will Freight Rates Fall in Q4?

More ships are coming. But the network is still tight.

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Maritime Analytica
Sep 01, 2026
∙ Paid

Freight rates should be falling.

The fleet is bigger.

Peak season is fading.

And Suez is starting to reopen.

But the market is not moving in one direction.

  • The WCI fell 1% last week.

  • The SCFI rose 2.9%.

Panama is tightening as carriers blank sailings.

So does Q4 finally bring lower rates?

Or does the market stay tighter than expected?

Here are 5️⃣ signals behind it:


1️⃣ Rates are already moving in different directions

The WCI fell 1% to $4,473.

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